Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
| 29.8% | 27.02% | 43.18% |
| Both teams to score 49.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.25% | 55.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.11% | 76.89% |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% | 33.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.5% | 70.49% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% | 25.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% | 60.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.8% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 8.04% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.17% |