Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
| 27.26% | 26.2% | 46.54% |
| Both teams to score 50.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.13% | 53.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.67% | 75.33% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% | 34.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% | 71.53% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% | 23.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.02% | 56.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.26% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 11.78% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 8.63% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.54% |