Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | St Mirren |
| 27.73% | 26.76% | 45.51% |
| Both teams to score 48.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.29% | 55.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.15% | 76.85% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% | 35.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% | 72.16% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% | 24.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% | 58.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.73% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 8.59% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.5% |