Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25

Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

Almondvale Stadium

Livingston
2 - 1
Hamilton

Emmanuel-Thomas (16'), Pittman (36')
Devlin (5'), Holt (42')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Smith (30')
Smith (45+1'), Martin (90+2')

Reaction

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Livi will have a chance to seal a European spot after the split.

Mar 14, 12:24

General view of Almondvale Stadium, home to Livingston, from 2005

David Martindale hails Livingston's "unbelievable effort" after top-six finish

Saturday's 2-1 win over struggling Hamilton moved the fifth-placed Lions six points clear of St Johnstone.

Mar 13, 18:34

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Hamilton Academical
48.75%	25.39%	25.85%

Both teams to score 51.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36%

51.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58%

73.42%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8%

21.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.92%

54.08%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.24%

34.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.51%

71.48%

Score Analysis

Livingston 48.74%

Hamilton Academical 25.85%

Draw 25.39%

Livingston	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.74%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.85%