Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 37.68% | 28.15% | 34.17% |
| Both teams to score 47.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.61% | 79.39% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% | 30.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.7% | 66.3% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% | 32.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% | 68.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.16% |