Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 47.31% | 26.68% | 26.02% |
| Both teams to score 47.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.61% | 56.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% | 77.41% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% | 23.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% | 58.05% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% | 37.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.02% | 73.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% 2-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.3% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.02% |