Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 28.45% | 25.81% | 45.74% |
| Both teams to score 52.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% | 51.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% | 73.44% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% | 22.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% | 56.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-1 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.45% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 4.54% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.74% |