Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
| 46.06% | 26.42% | 27.53% |
| Both teams to score 49.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% | 54.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% | 75.89% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% | 23.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% | 57.72% |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% | 34.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.32% | 71.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.12% Total : 27.53% |