Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16

Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK

New Douglas Park

Hamilton
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Callachan (73' pen.)
Fulton (79'), Stirling (85'), Owolabi (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGowan (63'), Haunstrup (72')
Dikamona (29')

Reaction

Kilmarnock manager Alex Dyer pictured on August 22, 2020

Kilmarnock boss Alex Dyer hits out at punishment from SPFL

Alex Dyer is bewildered by the punishments handed to his club over Covid-19 breaches.

Dec 6, 08:54

Hamilton Academical manager Brian Rice pictured in August 2020

Brian Rice urges Hamilton to build on vital win over Kilmarnock

Ross Callachan's penalty was enough to secure victory over Kilmarnock.

Dec 5, 18:39

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Kilmarnock
25.29%	27.29%	47.42%

Both teams to score 45.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.96%

59.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.5%

79.5%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.69%

39.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99%

76.01%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03%

24.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39%

59.61%

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 25.29%

Kilmarnock 47.41%

Draw 27.29%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 5.94% 2-0 @ 4.28% 3-1 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.33% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.45% Total : 25.29%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 9.81% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 13.61% 0-2 @ 9.45% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-3 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.41%