Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 48.48% | 27.18% | 24.34% |
| Both teams to score 45.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.72% | 59.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% | 79.69% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% | 24.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% | 59.06% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.69% | 40.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.06% | 76.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 8.87% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.48% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.34% |