Kelty Hearts
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
New Central Park
St Johnstone logo

Kelty Hearts
1 - 2
St Johnstone

Tidser (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kerr (45+2'), Kane (60')
Craig (33'), Conway (40'), (40')

The Match

Match Report

The Perth side ended a four-game run without a goal but had to work for their 2-1 Betfred Cup victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawSt Johnstone
46.02%24.53%29.45%
Both teams to score 56.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31%45.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99%68%
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04%19.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.89%52.11%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1%28.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23%64.77%
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 46.02%
    St Johnstone 29.45%
    Draw 24.52%
Kelty HeartsDrawSt Johnstone
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 5.77%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-1 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.45%