Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 54.2% | 24.84% | 20.95% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.11% | 53.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% | 75.35% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% | 19.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.06% | 51.94% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.41% | 40.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% | 77.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% 2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 54.2% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.26% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.29% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.95% |