Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 46.26% | 27.17% | 26.57% |
| Both teams to score 46.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% | 57.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% | 78.57% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.35% | 59.65% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% | 37.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% | 74.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 8.84% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.57% |