Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1

Aug 1, 2020 at 3pm UK

Easter Road Stadium

Hibernian
2 - 1
Kilmarnock

Boyle (5', 34')
McGinn (68')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Burke (44')
Power (77')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Hibernian	Draw	Kilmarnock
54.96%	23.34%	21.7%

Both teams to score 53.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.93%

47.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.69%

69.31%

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83%

17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.88%

47.12%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.04%

35.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.26%

72.74%

Score Analysis

Hibernian 54.96%

Kilmarnock 21.7%

Draw 23.33%

Hibernian	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.96%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.7%