Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 25.95% | 27.76% | 46.29% |
| Both teams to score 44.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.79% | 60.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.6% | 80.4% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% | 39.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% | 76.07% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% | 26.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% | 61.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 5.99% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.45% Total : 25.95% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 13.79% 0-2 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 8.65% 0-3 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.4% 1-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.01% Total : 46.28% |