Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 51.97% | 23.87% | 24.16% |
| Both teams to score 54.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% | 46.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% | 69% |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% | 17.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.17% | 48.82% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% | 33.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% | 70.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.96% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.16% |