Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Motherwell in this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 53.5% | 24.2% | 22.29% |
| Both teams to score 51.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% | 49.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% | 71.95% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% | 18.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.1% | 49.9% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% | 37.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.19% | 73.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% 2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.29% |