Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
| 48.17% | 25.13% | 26.7% |
| Both teams to score 52.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.04% | 49.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% | 71.95% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% | 20.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% | 33.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% | 69.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.6% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.7% |