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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Kilmarnock
0 - 3
Dunfermline


Dicker (51'), Russell (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Murray (56'), Murray (73', 83')
Whittaker (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Pars put three goals past their Premiership hosts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDunfermline Athletic
43.94%25.38%30.68%
Both teams to score 54.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19%48.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09%70.91%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82%22.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42%55.58%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37%29.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33%65.67%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 43.94%
    Dunfermline Athletic 30.68%
    Draw 25.38%
KilmarnockDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.94%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.99%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.68%

rhs 2.0
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