Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3

Oct 20, 2020 at 7pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
4 - 2
Hamilton

Hoban (14'), Ferguson (21'), Edmondson (24', 31')
McLennan (85')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Moyo (32'), Hodson (68' pen.)
Odofin (90+1')

Reaction

Aberdeen manager Derek McInnes pictured in August 2020

Derek McInnes admits Aberdeen "have to defend better" despite Hamilton win

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Oct 20, 21:30

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Hamilton Academical
57.73%	23.21%	19.05%

Both teams to score 49.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.13%

49.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.13%

71.86%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.98%

17.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.85%

47.14%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.67%

40.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.05%

76.94%

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 57.73%

Hamilton Academical 19.05%

Draw 23.21%

Aberdeen	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 12.15% 2-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 57.73%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.21%	0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.05%