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Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren logo

Aberdeen
2 - 1
St Mirren

Watkins (71'), Ferguson (90+1')
McCrorie (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Erhahon (54')
McCarthy (43')

The Match

Match Report

Lewis Ferguson scored the winner in stoppage time.

Team News

Buddies defender Richard Tait will sit out the trip through suspension.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
56.64%25.18%18.18%
Both teams to score 42.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76%58.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12%78.87%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41%20.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88%53.12%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.75%46.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.09%81.91%
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 56.63%
    St Mirren 18.18%
    Draw 25.17%
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 15.04%
2-0 @ 11.89%
2-1 @ 9.17%
3-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 4.83%
4-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 56.63%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 18.18%