Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5

Aug 23, 2020 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Livingston

Ferguson (49' pen.), Wright (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pittman (69')
Sibbald (42'), Devlin (43')

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Aberdeen boss Derek McInnes pictured in April 2019

Derek McInnes: 'We've been desperate for some good news'

A Lewis Ferguson penalty and a Scott Wright strike saw off Livingston.

Aug 23, 17:36

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Livingston
41.52%	27.91%	30.57%

Both teams to score 47.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.27%

58.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74%

79.26%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14%

27.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54%

63.46%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17%

34.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44%

71.57%

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 41.52%

Livingston 30.57%

Draw 27.9%

Aberdeen	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.52%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.18% Total : 30.57%