Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Hibernian |
| 45.25% | 26.61% | 28.14% |
| Both teams to score 49.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.03% | 54.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.75% | 76.25% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% | 24.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% | 58.55% |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% | 34.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.58% | 71.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.57% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.17% Total : 28.14% |