Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 41.96% | 27.43% | 30.61% |
| Both teams to score 48.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.01% | 56.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.11% | 77.89% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% | 62.08% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% | 33.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% | 70.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.95% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.61% |