Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
| 32% | 25.29% | 42.71% |
| Both teams to score 55.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% | 47.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% | 70.06% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% | 28.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36% | 64% |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% | 22.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.15% | 55.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.73% Total : 32% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.71% |