Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 45.05% | 27.46% | 27.49% |
| Both teams to score 46.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.61% | 58.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% | 78.99% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% | 25.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% | 60.8% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% | 37.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.15% | 73.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.04% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.49% |