Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
| 36.46% | 26.59% | 36.94% |
| Both teams to score 52.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% | 52.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% | 74.33% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% | 27.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% | 63.46% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% | 27.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% | 63.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.94% |