Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
35.48% | 27.07% | 37.45% |
Both teams to score 50.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.34% | 54.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.01% | 75.99% |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.59% | 29.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.6% | 65.4% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.78% | 28.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.08% | 63.92% |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.47% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 23 | 48 | 71 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 70 |
3 | Hearts | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 55 |
4 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 44 |
5 | St Mirren | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
6 | Hibernian | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
7 | Dundee | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 36 |
8 | Motherwell | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 32 |
9 | Aberdeen | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 30 |
10 | St Johnstone | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 28 |
11 | Ross County | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 27 |
12 | Livingston | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |