Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 35.45% | 28.25% | 36.3% |
| Both teams to score 47.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.81% | 59.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.38% | 79.62% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% | 31.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% | 68.11% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% | 31.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% | 67.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.44% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.3% |