Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
44% | 28.15% | 27.85% |
Both teams to score 45.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.42% | 60.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.32% | 80.68% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% | 27.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% | 62.87% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.03% | 37.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.26% | 74.74% |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 13.46% 2-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.8% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.65% Total : 27.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 23 | 48 | 71 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 70 |
3 | Hearts | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 55 |
4 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 44 |
5 | St Mirren | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
6 | Hibernian | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
7 | Dundee | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 36 |
8 | Motherwell | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 32 |
9 | Aberdeen | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 30 |
10 | St Johnstone | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 28 |
11 | Ross County | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 27 |
12 | Livingston | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |