Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
| 44% | 28.15% | 27.85% |
| Both teams to score 45.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.42% | 60.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.32% | 80.68% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% | 27.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% | 62.87% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% | 37.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.26% | 74.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% 2-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.8% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.65% Total : 27.85% |