Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 32.44% | 27.86% | 39.7% |
| Both teams to score 47.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% | 58.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% | 78.76% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% | 33.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% | 69.75% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% | 28.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% | 64.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 11.86% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 7.43% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.7% |