Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
| 32.53% | 27.78% | 39.69% |
| Both teams to score 48.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% | 57.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% | 78.51% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% | 32.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% | 69.49% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% | 28.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% | 64.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.53% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 11.76% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 7.4% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.76% Total : 39.68% |