Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
48.46% | 27.12% | 24.43% |
Both teams to score 45.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41% | 59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.53% | 79.47% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.54% | 24.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.1% | 58.9% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.93% | 40.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.28% | 76.72% |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 13.8% 2-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 23 | 48 | 71 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 70 |
3 | Hearts | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 55 |
4 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 44 |
5 | St Mirren | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
6 | Hibernian | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
7 | Dundee | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 36 |
8 | Motherwell | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 32 |
9 | Aberdeen | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 30 |
10 | St Johnstone | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 28 |
11 | Ross County | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 27 |
12 | Livingston | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |