Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16

Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK

St Mirren Park

St Mirren
1 - 1
Aberdeen

McGrath (44' pen.)
Doyle-Hayes (38'), Erhahon (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hayes (37')
Ferguson (5'), Hayes (55')
Ferguson (51')

Reaction

St Mirren boss Jim Goodwin pictured on August 9, 2020

Jim Goodwin admits St Mirren must be more clinical after Aberdeen draw

Lewis Ferguson was sent off early in the second half for the Dons.

Dec 5, 18:54

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Aberdeen
29.12%	28.8%	42.08%

Both teams to score 43.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.78%

62.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.1%

81.9%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.16%

37.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.38%

74.61%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77%

29.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82%

65.18%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 29.11%

Aberdeen 42.07%

Draw 28.8%

St Mirren	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.68% Total : 29.11%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.8%	0-1 @ 13.6% 0-2 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-3 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.06% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.51% Total : 42.07%