Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 45.19% | 26.73% | 28.07% |
| Both teams to score 49.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.55% | 55.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% | 76.64% |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% | 24.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% | 58.89% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% | 35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% | 71.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.07% |