Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.