Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10

Feb 10, 2021 at 6pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Motherwell

FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (71')
Watt (78'), O'Donnell (81')

Reaction

St Johnstone manager Tommy Wright pictured in January 2016

Tommy Wright "encouraged" by performance against Motherwell

Allan Campbell's 71st-minute strike earned Well a 1-0 win which moved them four points above Killie.

Feb 10, 21:23

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Motherwell in this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Motherwell
29.33%	26.44%	44.22%

Both teams to score 50.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.26%

53.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78%

75.22%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88%

33.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28%

69.72%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83%

24.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5%

58.49%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 29.33%

Motherwell 44.21%

Draw 26.44%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.33%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 8.07% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.21%