Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 88.1%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 3.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 4-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
88.1% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
Both teams to score 34.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.3% | 31.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.77% | 53.23% |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.33% | 4.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.02% | 18.97% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
36.7% | 63.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
7.75% | 92.24% |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
3-0 @ 14.18% 2-0 @ 13.88% 4-0 @ 10.87% 1-0 @ 9.06% 5-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 6.49% 2-1 @ 6.35% 4-1 @ 4.97% 6-0 @ 3.41% 5-1 @ 3.05% 6-1 @ 1.56% 7-0 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.48% Total : 88.08% | 1-1 @ 4.14% 0-0 @ 2.95% 2-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.25% Total : 8.8% | 0-1 @ 1.35% 1-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.8% Total : 3.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 23 | 48 | 71 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 70 |
3 | Hearts | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 55 |
4 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 44 |
5 | St Mirren | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
6 | Hibernian | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
7 | Dundee | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 36 |
8 | Motherwell | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 32 |
9 | Aberdeen | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 30 |
10 | St Johnstone | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 28 |
11 | Ross County | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 27 |
12 | Livingston | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |