Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
| 38.05% | 26.49% | 35.45% |
| Both teams to score 52.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% | 52.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% | 74.02% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% | 26.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% | 62.04% |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% | 28.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% | 64.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.45% |