Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
| 33.6% | 28.12% | 38.28% |
| Both teams to score 47.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.17% | 58.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.67% | 79.34% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% | 32.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% | 69.28% |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% | 29.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% | 65.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.6% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.28% |