Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
59.57% | 23.17% | 17.25% |
Both teams to score 46.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.74% | 52.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.04% | 73.96% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% | 17.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.49% | 47.51% |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.15% | 43.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20% | 80% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 5.65% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.33% 5-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.57% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 4.51% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 23 | 48 | 71 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 70 |
3 | Hearts | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 55 |
4 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 44 |
5 | St Mirren | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
6 | Hibernian | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
7 | Dundee | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 36 |
8 | Motherwell | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 32 |
9 | Aberdeen | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 30 |
10 | St Johnstone | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 28 |
11 | Ross County | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 27 |
12 | Livingston | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |