Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
58.24% | 23.55% | 18.2% |
Both teams to score 47.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.65% | 52.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.96% | 74.04% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.27% | 17.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.6% | 48.4% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.25% | 42.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.92% | 79.08% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 13.11% 2-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.56% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.46% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.44% 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.79% Total : 18.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
10 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |