Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
| 24.47% | 24.99% | 50.54% |
| Both teams to score 51.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.91% | 51.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.06% | 72.94% |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.36% | 35.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.59% | 72.4% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% | 20.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.45% | 52.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 7.44% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.96% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 1% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 9.21% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-3 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.96% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.53% |