Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.