Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.