Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
46.53% | 25.92% | 27.55% |
Both teams to score 51.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.41% | 52.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.75% | 74.25% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.42% | 22.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.82% | 56.18% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.11% | 33.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.44% | 70.56% |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |