Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 78.21%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 7.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.62%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
78.21% | 13.97% | 7.82% |
Both teams to score 47.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.34% | 34.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.39% | 56.61% |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.88% | 7.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.06% | 25.94% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.47% | 48.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.38% | 83.61% |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-0 @ 12.06% 3-0 @ 10.62% 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 7.68% 4-0 @ 7.02% 4-1 @ 5.08% 5-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.78% 5-1 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.84% 6-0 @ 1.63% 6-1 @ 1.18% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.08% Total : 78.19% | 1-1 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 3.46% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.76% Total : 13.97% | 0-1 @ 2.5% 1-2 @ 2.39% 0-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.03% Total : 7.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |