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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Livingston logo

St Mirren
1 - 1
Livingston

McGrath (68')
Shaughnessy (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Devlin (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Two teams in the bottom half of the Scottish Premier League will collide on Saturday when Livingston travel to the SMiSA Stadium to face St Mirren. The hosts have not managed a victory in their previous four outings while the visitors are looking to get back to winning ways for the first time in two games following consecutive draws.

Match preview

St Mirren have recently slipped down to eighth in the Scottish Premier League table, and that is something they will want to set right this weekend. Given that they are level on points with both Aberdeen and Hibernian, the Buddies have a chance to potentially climb the division with a victory. However, they will need to stop their recent form in order to do so after failing to win during their last four matches, which included two draws and defeats. Their previous match before the international break ended goalless between them and St Johnstone, managing just three shots on target within 90 minutes. The squad will take confidence from the fact that they beat Livingston when they met earlier on in the season, with a goal from Ethan Erhahon proving to be enough to separate the teams. That is something Livingston cannot afford to repeat at the weekend as they sit directly above the relegation zone, and there are just two points between them and Dundee. A defeat on Saturday could see them slip into the bottom two and would also allow Ross County to put them under pressure, which is something the club would like to avoid. Despite the fact they are lower than St Mirren in the table right now, the Lions are actually in stronger form, having built up a four-game unbeaten run. Livingston defeated St Johnstone and Ross County and then followed that up with draws against Dundee United and Celtic. However, to make those previous two matches more impressive, they did finish both of them with 10 men, with the discipline factor being something that the team must focus on.
St Mirren Scottish Premiership form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
St Mirren form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
Livingston Scottish Premiership form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
Livingston form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

Team News

Given the impressive performances that St Mirren have been putting out lately, there is a chance that an unchanged starting XI will be named on Saturday. Defensively, the back three is likely to remain after keeping a clean sheet in their last game, but Eamonn Brophy could be brought back into the team after being used as a bench in that match. Livingston will be without Ayo Obileye for this fixture due to suspension, which will force at least one defensive change to the back five that the Lions use. Andrew Shinnie returned to the team prior to the international break, boosting the attacking options, and he is likely to retain his place within the team. St Mirren possible starting lineup: Alnwick; Shaughnessy, McCarthy, Fraser; Tanser, Tait, Power, Flynn, Ronan; Mcrath, Main Livingston possible starting lineup: Stryjek; Kelly, Parkes, Fitzwater, Devlin, Longridge; Shinnie, Holt, Omeonga, Bailey; Anderson

We said: St Mirren 0-2 Livingston

Livingston might be lower down in the league table, but the recent form certainly favours them and that is why they could end up securing all three points in this match. They have proven themselves to be resilient with their recent draws with 10 men and they certainly have the attacking qualities to cause a threat as well.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 46.44%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawLivingston
46.44%27.99%25.57%
Both teams to score 43.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.8%61.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.86%81.14%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4%61.59%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72%40.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09%76.9%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 46.44%
    Livingston 25.57%
    Draw 27.98%
St MirrenDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 14.16%
2-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 46.44%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 25.57%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Livingston

St Mirren
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Livingston
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Livingston
1-1
St Mirren
Livingston win 4-3 on penalties
Forrest (41')
Holt (45+3'), Bailey (57'), Pittman (64'), Jacobs (120+4')
McCarthy (82')
Shaughnessy (47')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
St Mirren
1-1
Livingston
McCarthy (8' og.)
Guthrie (72')
Jan 24, 2021 4pm
Semi-Finals
Livingston
1-0
St Mirren
Robinson (10')
Holt (41'), Pittman (65')

Connolly (52'), Obika (75')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts000046341262
4Kilmarnock00004334951
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian00004451-739
2Motherwell00004651-537
3Aberdeen00003549-1435
4St Johnstone00002446-2231
5Ross County00003256-2430
6Livingston00002259-3718
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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