Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 46.44%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
| 46.44% | 27.99% | 25.57% |
| Both teams to score 43.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.8% | 61.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.86% | 81.14% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% | 26.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.4% | 61.59% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.72% | 40.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.09% | 76.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% 2-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.91% Total : 46.44% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.33% Total : 25.57% |