Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
| 34.51% | 27.07% | 38.42% |
| Both teams to score 50.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% | 54.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% | 76.07% |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% | 30.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% | 66.2% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% | 27.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% | 63.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.42% |