Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 37.86% | 27.99% | 34.16% |
| Both teams to score 47.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.72% | 58.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.09% | 78.92% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% | 29.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% | 65.81% |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% | 32.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% | 68.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.85% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.16% |