Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
37.86% | 27.99% | 34.16% |
Both teams to score 47.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.72% | 58.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.09% | 78.92% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% | 29.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.2% | 65.81% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% | 32.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% | 68.55% |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.85% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |